Monthly Archives: January 2013

Stormy

I’m sorry couldn’t post earlier on the severe weather threat…i had a major production this evening. Obviously, it’s windy.  There is low-level jet with winds of up to 80mph just a couple thousand feet above the ground.  The entrainment of … Continue reading

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There Once Was a Little Boy…

I’m just in from working offline and a little astonished to find WCPSS has a 3-hr delay tomorrow.  Indulge me here… Once upon a time, let’s say back in 1977, a 4-year old boy lived in far away land…let’s say, … Continue reading

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Panic

All of the snow is over.  And a lot of the sleet is probably done (especially south of Raleigh), although it could mix in from time to time, especially at the onset of the next round of precip, set to … Continue reading

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Don’t Panic!

There is a forerunner band of snow and sleet that will be pushing thru the Triangle earlier than advertised.  In fact, this band wasn’t even picked up on by the latest runs of the NAM this AM…so consider it a … Continue reading

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Forecast Headaches

The 0Z runs are in and there’s no question that they are wetter.  Some up and down is expected, but we have two runs with a little more moisture depicted.  It will be quite cold at the surface thru this … Continue reading

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Too Pessimistic?

Not that one should waffle back and forth with each model run, but as you get closer to an event, presumably model guidance should improve.  After several cycles of trending drier, the 18Z models have come back around wetter, owing … Continue reading

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Trim It Back

Moisture really looks starved for tomorrow.  So, for the second dance in a row, it looks like the guest of honor won’t show.  For a good portion of central NC, I think this will play out as a couple of … Continue reading

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Bang for the Buck

As I, and everyone else it seems, have said, the limiting factor with this next round of winter is moisture.  The range of possibilities for the Triangle are from a couple of spotty snow or sleet showers that dust the … Continue reading

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The Dance

Last dance, I asked ‘Cold’ if she’d come, because I knew I was bringing the wet.  This go round, I’m asking ‘Wet’ to the dance, because I’m bringing the cold. Last week, we had a lot of moisture with only … Continue reading

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Well, I Said There Might Be a Mess…

…and it looks like we’ll have one on Friday.  Whether or not the wintry materializes, the meteorologists will be sweating this one, no doubt. It’s funny that we rely on models so much for our forecasts, but in this case … Continue reading

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