« Archives in November, 2014

Gizzard Blizzard?

Ok, no Thanksgiving blizzard for Raleigh, but maybe there will be some snow in NC on Wednesday with the potential for some hefty snow in the Mid-Atlantic and NorthEast to make for a ‘gizzard blizzard’!

There is mounting evidence to suggest the possibility of a wet snow event in central NC late Tuesday and Wednesday.  The cold will be marginal, but heavier precip rates might be able to overcome warm boundary layer temps.  Alternatively, we could have everyone’s favorite…a cold 35° rain.

Still a lot of uncertainty and variety of solutions to study.  At this point the euro ensembles give it a 1 in 3 shot of measurable snow.  The operational GFS has been bullish for the past couple runs, but it’s interesting to see that the beta version of the new GFS upgrade which has been performing well, isn’t biting…yet.



Winter Arrives Early

I figured I should turn the snow showers on for the webpage…

Happy start to winter!  Don’t worry what the calendar says.  Next week a monster arctic high (especially for Nov) invades the US with A LOT of cold air.  Cold temps arrive here at the end of the week, and then could there be an over-running situation late Fri or Sat?!  something frozen?!

It’s a long way off and lots to debate over the next week, but what looks like a great bet is the cold!

Oh, and watch out for one more round of mod to heavy showers with maybe a clap of thunder before the night is out.