The main rain shield from Michael is just arriving in Raleigh. The heaviest axis of rain looks to setup west of the Triangle where several inches are likely while totals near Raleigh are likely to be more on the order of 2″.
Our main threat appears to be from a period gusty winds in the 5:30-7:30pm timeframe after most of the rain has passed. On the back side of the circulation will be a burst of winds that could catch everyone off guard, thinking the storm has passed. The higher resolution models indicate that higher momentum air above the surface should get mixed down to near the surface making for a short period of of straight-line winds similar to a derecho event. 10m winds are indicated in the 60-80mph range. If this pans out, we can expect lots of trees down following the soaking rains, plus associated power outages.
Again, this looks to move from west to east thru the Triangle just after commute time. Stay alert.
Comments (0)