To Sea or Not to Sea…

…that is the question.

Like I said yesterday, we’re in that mid-game time when a track out to sea comes into play.  Certainly the 12Z runs of pretty much all of the models have shifted east.  The other trend this go round has been to rapidly deepen the low (bomb it out) as it races north, which is also something we were looking for.

There is good consensus on the potential for a very powerful Nor’easter with pressures nearing 960mb (that’s low…’Superstorm Sandy made landfall in Jersey with a pressure of 946mb).  Of course, this will happen when it bombs out off the New England coast.  The question is, what does the track look like.  And we won’t really be able to say with any confidence until the energy (that thousands of miles away and will eventually grow to be the storm) is sampled by upper air observations on Saturday.  Once those observations are integrated into the models, then things will become more clear.

For you snow lovers, don’t take this as the kiss of death, because it certainly is not. And, in fact, this AM’s GFS still depicted several inches of snow for central and eastern NC.

Bottom line is that tonight’s models won’t interest me as much as those beginning tomorrow AM, but especially into Sunday.

Comments (4)

  1. 5:25 PM, March 21, 2014Andy Wright  / Reply

    Ya know, that’s exactly what I was thinkin’. Especially about 12Z and the GFS…

  2. 5:26 PM, March 21, 2014Kat  / Reply

    This is making it difficult to put the final touches on my vacay plans. But it does make it interesting 😉

  3. 6:40 PM, March 21, 2014Mechelle  / Reply

    I will gladly take a good snow storm!!

  4. 4:54 PM, March 23, 2014lucy  / Reply

    Really anxious for your next update.

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