As today’s storm winds down for us in NC, we can look back and say that it came and went pretty well according to plan.
Note: there is the possibility of a snow shower or two rotating thru Wake Co. near the upper level low in the 11pm to 1am timeframe this evening (Sun, 16 Jan). Nothing to worry about with respect to significant accumulation, just an opportunity to see more of the flakes that many wished they had gotten earlier in the day.
Looking ahead, we’ll have a relatively chilly week, but with moderating temps each day ahead of an Arctic front which arrives Thursday accompanied by rain showers. Then, the uncertainty begins as to the possibility of a coastal storm, which is now being alluded to in the long range models for next weekend.
The numeric guidance at this point depicts a different scenario than the setup for today’s storm. This setup would be more promising for a real snowstorm vs ice. It would be a coastal storm. If fact, one of the possibilities is that Raleigh could miss out by being on the western edge of the precip, while the coastal plain hits the sweet spot.
Again, waaaaaay too early for anything except dreaming. However, I will say that pattern thru the end of the month looks to be one of the most promising in a couple of years, if you are a winter weather lover. It will average well below normal for temps. We just have to get the timing right with the arrival of the moisture!
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