Obviously, not a White Christmas, but maybe an honest to goodness snow… just like the ones I used to know.
The long-range indications we saw back in early December for a significant cold shot in January appear to be on point. Model runs continue to vary from run-to-run with solutions ranging from apocalyptic to general, widespread cold. The trend is undeniable, with much ensemble support for a decidedly cold period east of the Rockies after the first week of January.
In terms of cold and snow potential, the Euro ensembles (remember, the Euro ensembles are comprised of 50 individual members) look about as promising as they can be for 10-15 days out. Of course, there’s still plenty of time for Lucy to jerk the football away from Charlie Brown, so temper your excitement for now, and hold off stocking up on snow cream ingredients.
More immediately, the severe weather threat currently ongoing in the Deep South should arrive in the Carolinas tomorrow (Sunday). Enjoy the 60s and 70s now before they are gone by midweek. Stay alert tomorrow for potentially strong storms and gusty winds.
Hopefully, I’ll have reason next week to discuss specifics on potentially wintry scenarios for the following week.
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