Weathertrex.com

First things first. Tomorrow, don’t be surprised to see a snow shower or two from mid-morning into the early afternoon. Nothing to fret over.

The storm we’ve been trying to suss out over the last week does still appear to be on the table for next weekend. There are a ton of questions, but at this point it does look like some sort of East Coast storm. Who that ultimately affects, and what the precipitation distribution looks like, are still little more than guesses.

Maybe we’ve got another week of hypotheticals to worry over. 😉

Most of the precipitation with this event will fall as cold rain. As colder air works in late this evening, there will be a changeover from north to south. However, by the time it’s cold enough in Raleigh (around 11pm to midnight), the steadier precipitation will likely be over, leaving only scattered light sleet, snow, or freezing rain overnight.

Again, nothing major to deal with, just a nuisance. That said, with temperatures bottoming out in the upper 20s, a few slick spots are possible for the morning commute (and a delay for WCPSS?!?)

We should warm up next week for a much-deserved thaw before once again weighing the validity of a Valentine’s winter weather lovefest. ❤️❄️

The next threat for winter weather comes Wednesday PM thru the overnight hours into Thursday AM.

A cold front will approach tomorrow, pulling warmer air north ahead of it. That should give us almost “tropical-like” 🌴 highs in the mid, maybe even upper 40s, which will help melt off a lot of the existing snow and ice. On Wednesday, we’ll still be ahead of the front with rain showers during the day. The front then sags south Wednesday PM, allowing colder air to begin filtering in. As that happens, overrunning moisture could be sufficient to produce a decent showing of wet snow (model trends have become more bullish today). This isn’t a brutally cold setup like the last two events, where temperatures weren’t in question. This time, the complication is timing as to when the freezing level arrives through the various levels in the vertical column.

Net, net… nothing solid enough for anyone to change their plans right now. That said, there is a growing chance this could cause issues by Thursday AM.