Today’s modeling has come into excellent agreement on central NC receiving a significant, moderate snowfall tomorrow.  All the deterministic numerical guidance and their ensemble suites are very similar in depicting an axis of moderate snow accumulations near the Triangle.  Ensemble mean totals are rising, so confidence is pushing even higher for this event.  There will be a broad swath of 1-2″ across the majority the state with the axis of heaviest snows roughly along a line from Southern Pines to Raleigh to South Hill, Virginia.

Questions…how much rain, if any at the onset?  …liquid to snow ratios will be how high?  …where exactly will the favored axis line up?

Expect precipitation in Raleigh to begin as a spotty rain/snow mix as early as 4-5am, but really get going closer to 6 or 7am as moderate to occasionally heavy snow into the afternoon.  I’m expecting 3-5″ in Raleigh.  The over/under on the bust scale is now more like 6″ and 2″.

Enjoy your grocery run!

Comments (7)

  1. 2:20 PM, January 16, 2018Allison Jimenez  / Reply

    Just left Harris Teeter and I can assure you it was definitely not enjoyable! Bread and milk still left! 🙂

  2. 2:20 PM, January 16, 2018Kaira  / Reply

    I really like your blog and follow you from Greensboro. Can you speak to predictions for the Triad area?

    • 2:44 PM, January 16, 2018trex  / Reply

      Greensboro is likely to get 2-3″

      • 2:58 PM, January 16, 2018Kaira  / Reply

        Thanks! BTW I have been telling other Greensborians about this blog, so you are gathering a following here. =)

  3. 2:56 PM, January 16, 2018Jane  / Reply

    Any idea of the NE part of the state? Edenton?

  4. 3:27 PM, January 16, 2018Suzanne  / Reply


  5. 4:22 PM, January 16, 2018Christian  / Reply

    Is “significant moderate” one of those meteorological terms of magnitude, similar to “mostly cloudy” and “partly sunny” ?

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