When You Get Caught Between Lejeune and Morehead City

Ok, Arthur may have altered the lyrics today for landfall tonight. 😉  (I should clarify that I don’t think it will be as far west as Camp Lejeune, but it made the rhyme work for the song)

The latest 18Z models definitely shift the entire guidance envelope to the west…making a track inside of HAT seem like the likely scenario now.  And the 12Z Euro agrees.  Again this is important because where the eye passes and to the east will be the worst of the storm.  This track puts most of the OBX on the ‘wrong’ side of the path and increases the chances for more damage.  It also puts the popular NC beaches…Emerald Isle, Salter Path and Atlantic at higher risk for a direct hit.

There are lots of emergency preparations going on at the coast now.  In Hyde Co. they mean business…alcohol sales have been suspended!  I bet there’s a black market formed already!

But seriously, the satellite presentation has improved this afternoon with ragged eye emerging.


We can expect a little more strengthening before landfall later tonight.  Latest pressure is 977mb.  I am comfortable with my call last night…landfall close to Beaufort with max sustained winds of 100-105 mph east of the center.  Remember the good part of this storm is how quickly it will be out of here.  Stay safe if you’re at the beach!


Comments (3)

  1. 4:21 PM, July 3, 2014Chris Harrell  / Reply

    We’re hunkering down! Rain beginning to roll in with the first band of the storm! Will post pics on FB! Thanks for the updates Mike!

  2. 5:20 PM, July 3, 2014David Creech  / Reply

    Creech family(17) including 9 Grandkids are your eyes and ears on Atlantic Beach. Graying sky’s , drizzle starting and gusty winds setting in now.

  3. 6:55 PM, July 3, 2014Jean Goldberg  / Reply

    I am with California daughter , Jill, and husband, John in their ocean front beach house in Pine Knoll Shores. We have had first wave of storm and at 6:50 PM it is rather bright and calm waiting for the next wave. Power has gone on and off, but so far so good. We will see what happens next.

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