Next Threat

It’s a crazy pattern that we’re in now with an active southern branch of the jet stream.  There are lots of little disturbances blipping by every couple days, and the fun is trying to figure out which one(s) will blow up into a decent storm.  And then figuring out even if it does mature into a surface cyclone whether or not it continues out to sea.

The best guess on the weekend is that a weak system sends a couple of flurries/sprinkles our way tonight.  Then the following system holds a better chance for some development on Saturday with a cold yuck rain…best chances from the Triangle and east.

But the more interesting event is mid next week.  Over the past couple of cycles, there’s been growing model and ensemble support for a significant winter weather event.  We’re 5-6 days out, so at this point it’s just something to watch as it comes better into focus.

Maps, charts and nerdy stuff to come…

Comments (4)

  1. 9:10 AM, February 6, 2014Kat Moncol  / Reply

    No ice please! As if you control that and all…

  2. 9:12 AM, February 6, 2014trex  / Reply

    this setup favors ice and a mixed bag rather than snow.

  3. 1:51 PM, February 6, 2014Jeff  / Reply

    Maps, charts and nerdy stuff yay!!

  4. 7:23 PM, February 6, 2014Victoria  / Reply

    i hope not i want to be able to go to school next week

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