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Oops…Roads Are Covered at WeatherTrex.com

well, perhaps the roads will be easier to cover than first thought.  The official observation from weathertrex.com world headquarters reports that roads in my neighborhood are covered.  Heavy snow looks to be imminent in Raleigh proper by 1am.

Perhaps fate does indeed love a jest.  Check this out:

1)  I was scheduled to do a meteorology talk for an elementary school tomorrow morning.  Guess that’ll be cancelled.

2)  Tomorrow night, my wife and I are going to see a show…what’s is it, you ask?  Spring Awakening!  ha!  not so much…although the warm up to seasonable temps is in sight (if only to retrace some more wintry scenarios a couple more times before March is done.)

Steady as She Goes…

Happy Snow to you!

Here at the official weathertrex.com world headquarters I have about a 1/2-3/4″ of snow.  The status of the ‘nowcast’ is that the precip shield is beginning to blossom as the upper-level energy interacts with the bombing surface storm off the coast.  I’m comfortable with at least 2″ and generally 3-5″ from RDU east.  And yes, I still think that some favored locations get 6-8″, although the earlier potentials for up to 10″ may not be realized.  (or they could…)

The roads will be slow to accumulate snow, although if you saw the video out of Nash county from earlier this afternoon, you understand what can happen to the roads in bursts of heavy snow!  I was frankly amazed at how quickly the roads covered.

3:30pm Update

The NWS has now officially joined the party and issued a Winter Storm Warning from the Triangle north and east with official accumulation forecasts of 3-5″.  I tell you, though, if the short term model guidance verifies areas in the box bounded by Sanford to Roxboro to Roanoke Rapids to Goldsboro could get 6-10″.  Again, this is just potential!  This happens if the storm gets cranking and the deformation band blossoms.  At this point let’s say that 3-5″ is a pretty safe bet with the expectation of at least a narrow band of 6-8″ in there.  We should be able to access this later this evening for a reality check.

As for the near term…there will probably be a lull in precip for a bit over the next couple of hours.  We’ll see spotty rain and snow showers, before the steady precip begins this evening.  Again, accumulations will happen lastly on the roads.  And any road accumulation is not expected until late tonight.

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